Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2011 2:45:48 GMT -5
You guys seen this article on ESPN?
sports.espn.go.com/mlb/hotstove10/columns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&id=6021385
OUCH!! What the heck was I thinking?!!
Here's some snipets:
"...So how risky is it? Lee is the sixth pitcher in history to sign a $100 million contract. Of the other five, CC Sabathia's first two years (of a six-year deal) in New York have gone great. But all of the other four -- Kevin Brown, Mike Hampton, Barry Zito and Johan Santana -- have landed somewhere between injury-plagued and outright nightmares. Or both.
Now take into account that Lee will be 32 years old when he throws his first pitch with the Phillies and 37 when that contract hits the finish line. It's the perfect segueway to look at the greater dangers of giving long deals to players in their 30s. …
30 Rock -- An Age-Old Question
What do Lee, Werth and Beltre have in common these days? All of their contracts will guarantee them mucho dinero beyond age 35 -- Beltre to age 36, Lee to age 37 and Werth to age 38. And in the age they play in, that places them in their own unique free-agent danger zone.....
.....how about pitchers? The portrait isn't much more picturesque …
In 2010, there wasn't a starting pitcher 36 or older who won 15 games and had an ERA under 3.50.
The only starter in that age group who did get to 15 wins or more was Derek Lowe (16, at age 37), but he had a 4.00 ERA and a below-average 98 Adjusted ERA-Plus, according to baseball-reference.com. Just one starter in that age group had an ERA under 3:50: Andy Pettitte (3.28, at age 38), but he was only healthy enough to make 21 starts. And even if you lower the threshold to age 35, the only starter who won 15 and had a sub-3.50 ERA was Chris Carpenter, who turned 35 last April, but even he staggered to the finish line (1-4, 5.34 ERA in his final five starts).
So what's the moral of this story? It isn't complicated. In this era, there's no more precarious business decision -- or baseball decision -- a team can make than guaranteeing large paychecks to players in their late 30s, no matter who those players are."
sports.espn.go.com/mlb/hotstove10/columns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&id=6021385
OUCH!! What the heck was I thinking?!!
Here's some snipets:
"...So how risky is it? Lee is the sixth pitcher in history to sign a $100 million contract. Of the other five, CC Sabathia's first two years (of a six-year deal) in New York have gone great. But all of the other four -- Kevin Brown, Mike Hampton, Barry Zito and Johan Santana -- have landed somewhere between injury-plagued and outright nightmares. Or both.
Now take into account that Lee will be 32 years old when he throws his first pitch with the Phillies and 37 when that contract hits the finish line. It's the perfect segueway to look at the greater dangers of giving long deals to players in their 30s. …
30 Rock -- An Age-Old Question
What do Lee, Werth and Beltre have in common these days? All of their contracts will guarantee them mucho dinero beyond age 35 -- Beltre to age 36, Lee to age 37 and Werth to age 38. And in the age they play in, that places them in their own unique free-agent danger zone.....
.....how about pitchers? The portrait isn't much more picturesque …
In 2010, there wasn't a starting pitcher 36 or older who won 15 games and had an ERA under 3.50.
The only starter in that age group who did get to 15 wins or more was Derek Lowe (16, at age 37), but he had a 4.00 ERA and a below-average 98 Adjusted ERA-Plus, according to baseball-reference.com. Just one starter in that age group had an ERA under 3:50: Andy Pettitte (3.28, at age 38), but he was only healthy enough to make 21 starts. And even if you lower the threshold to age 35, the only starter who won 15 and had a sub-3.50 ERA was Chris Carpenter, who turned 35 last April, but even he staggered to the finish line (1-4, 5.34 ERA in his final five starts).
So what's the moral of this story? It isn't complicated. In this era, there's no more precarious business decision -- or baseball decision -- a team can make than guaranteeing large paychecks to players in their late 30s, no matter who those players are."